This could displace large amounts of labor-for instance, in mortgage origination, paralegal work, accounting, and back-office transaction processing. Collecting and processing data are two other categories of activities that increasingly can be done better and faster with machines. Activities most susceptible to automation include physical ones in predictable environments, such as operating machinery and preparing fast food. The potential impact of automation on employment varies by occupation and sector (see interactive above). Results differ significantly by country, reflecting the mix of activities currently performed by workers and prevailing wage rates. We mainly use the midpoint of our scenario range, which is automation of 15 percent of current activities. Taking these factors into account, our new research estimates that between almost zero and 30 percent of the hours worked globally could be automated by 2030, depending on the speed of adoption. Other factors include the cost of developing and deploying automation solutions for specific uses in the workplace, the labor-market dynamics (including quality and quantity of labor and associated wages), the benefits of automation beyond labor substitution, and regulatory and social acceptance. While technical feasibility of automation is important, it is not the only factor that will influence the pace and extent of automation adoption. However, in about 60 percent of occupations, at least one-third of the constituent activities could be automated, implying substantial workplace transformations and changes for all workers. Very few occupations-less than 5 percent-consist of activities that can be fully automated. We previously found that about half the activities people are paid to do globally could theoretically be automated using currently demonstrated technologies. What impact will automation have on work? How do we manage the upcoming workforce transitions?ġ.What will automation mean for skills and wages?.Will there be enough work in the future?.What are possible scenarios for employment growth?.What impact will automation have on work?. Our key finding is that while there may be enough work to maintain full employment to 2030 under most scenarios, the transitions will be very challenging-matching or even exceeding the scale of shifts out of agriculture and manufacturing we have seen in the past. The results reveal a rich mosaic of potential shifts in occupations in the years ahead, with important implications for workforce skills and wages. “From those maintaining or flying these bombers to those behind the scenes enabling the mission, our ability to credibly assure allies and deter adversaries requires every Airman out here,” Patterson said.Building on our January 2017 report on automation, McKinsey Global Institute’s latest report, Jobs lost, jobs gained: Workforce transitions in a time of automation (PDF–5MB), assesses the number and types of jobs that might be created under different scenarios through 2030 and compares that to the jobs that could be lost to automation. locations, supporting the National Defense Strategy objectives of building enduring advantages and integrated deterrence. Throughout this deployment, the B-52s will actively train during operations and exercises while integrating alongside allies and partners throughout the region.īTF missions actively enable strategic bombers to operate with greater operational resilience from various overseas and continental U.S. “Each mission flown further demonstrates our ability to provide agile combat ready forces and long-range strike capabilities to combatant commanders around the globe.” “The Bomber Task Force is designed to enhance the high-end readiness of the bomber force while also advancing our interoperability with allies and partners,” said Lt.
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